Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 73.462268 82.665771 92.088167 102.424106 113.412341 124.715944 137.193511
2025-05-25 58.538232 71.653679 85.704939 101.747564 119.431745 138.216146 159.565390
2025-06-01 50.037111 65.313260 82.240058 102.118100 124.571232 148.921301 177.105413
2025-06-08 42.663913 59.237545 78.191250 101.021030 127.360633 156.429950 190.585040
2025-06-15 38.140591 55.913675 76.798437 102.488223 132.637238 166.371265 206.467480
2025-06-22 34.465084 53.201216 75.780799 104.086014 137.805801 175.984368 221.809355
2025-06-29 30.153426 49.273520 72.953341 103.231738 139.858522 181.823518 232.682222
2025-07-06 25.773409 44.848243 69.177432 100.935245 139.954156 185.192248 240.540670
2025-07-13 24.439853 44.364724 70.275842 104.548995 147.071557 196.733589 257.847788
2025-07-20 22.667665 43.108230 70.253676 106.664999 152.301320 206.001730 272.476417
2025-07-27 20.128012 40.537672 68.337663 106.245037 154.316634 211.368832 282.464053
2025-08-03 17.716416 37.933714 66.209617 105.413679 155.712116 215.909855 291.410341
2025-08-10 16.011138 36.277931 65.308259 106.151560 159.082002 222.883456 303.340066
2025-08-17 14.058036 34.048110 63.479901 105.571198 160.723941 227.720724 312.702034
2025-08-24 12.580263 32.438551 62.422231 105.932389 163.497096 233.893188 323.634529
2025-08-31 10.854493 30.219136 60.348681 104.814089 164.291198 237.574272 331.518012
2025-09-07 9.957247 29.360968 60.220766 106.312895 168.440213 245.387152 344.405553
2025-09-14 9.169541 28.619251 60.215506 107.945436 172.742137 253.381680 357.517395
2025-09-21 7.899641 26.808296 58.474427 107.072634 173.700000 257.161850 365.455830
2025-09-28 6.474749 24.472111 55.771510 104.726052 172.621967 258.320961 370.127802
2025-10-05 6.322670 24.780157 57.279100 108.418416 179.603001 269.666174 387.366416
2025-10-12 5.903532 24.457370 57.738569 110.579931 184.527526 278.410708 401.406646
2025-10-19 5.082757 23.114190 56.454598 110.150966 185.929149 282.657499 409.868017